Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.274128 4.929560 5.649628 6.499116 7.473677 8.556593 9.851141
2024-12-29 3.527436 4.423553 5.490129 6.852102 8.544357 10.577382 13.205460
2025-01-05 2.947037 3.976855 5.291443 7.090208 9.485762 12.565196 16.824810
2025-01-12 2.436325 3.512137 4.974655 7.103876 10.121229 14.241506 20.295373
2025-01-19 1.938282 2.968315 4.451500 6.736533 10.163030 15.105821 22.776615
2025-01-26 1.722048 2.785561 4.398691 7.014194 11.141138 17.395182 27.589483
2025-02-02 1.591853 2.707611 4.482569 7.498204 12.483023 20.384280 33.852467
2025-02-09 1.420799 2.533189 4.383504 7.667654 13.337147 22.707822 39.359295
2025-02-16 1.264930 2.357266 4.251846 7.755162 14.053571 24.878661 44.875726
2025-02-23 1.090997 2.120679 3.979151 7.552215 14.228458 26.136039 48.956207
2025-03-02 0.925886 1.873663 3.650526 7.195863 14.067697 26.763117 51.956579
2025-03-09 0.843323 1.771963 3.575744 7.301463 14.773588 29.036915 58.273317
2025-03-16 0.736144 1.608219 3.365411 7.127104 14.941977 30.371263 63.070641
2025-03-23 0.700758 1.588123 3.438881 7.536339 16.334947 34.264232 73.467637
2025-03-30 0.655721 1.540194 3.447977 7.812193 17.489757 37.824555 83.655791
2025-04-06 0.594862 1.447238 3.347441 7.836065 18.107792 40.348495 91.981969
2025-04-13 0.510818 1.287084 3.075383 7.436691 17.734102 40.704209 95.619987
2025-04-20 0.485101 1.262546 3.108738 7.745908 19.014959 44.851276 108.311255
2025-04-27 0.474920 1.274871 3.230260 8.281539 20.898393 50.588504 125.410027
2025-05-04 0.444926 1.231747 3.211245 8.469676 21.967049 54.561753 138.821562
2025-05-11 0.413017 1.178470 3.159283 8.566980 22.822305 58.127794 151.690324
2025-05-18 0.369197 1.085739 2.992946 8.343675 22.828576 59.616421 159.547471
2025-05-25 0.323246 0.979423 2.775234 7.950957 22.334017 59.779638 164.003402